by Alan Yuhas, The Guardian, 2/1/18
Dozens of Republicans are rushing for the exits on Capitol Hill in an exodus which has dramatically raised Democratic hopes of shifting the balance of power in Washington DC.
Congressman Trey Gowdy, the Republican who made headlines with a crusade to investigate Hillary Clinton, announced his retirement on Wednesday, becoming the 38th Republican to announce they would be giving up their seat in Congress since Donald Trump’s inauguration last year.
Gowdy and other Republicans cheered the president on during his state of the union address, chanting “USA” and standing to applaud his agenda.
But many of the same lawmakers have said they have had enough of Washington and the chaos in the White House, gridlock at work and angry voters back home.
Midterm elections in November give Democrats a strong chance of winning the 24 seats they need to seize back the House and jeopardizing the president’s agenda….
keep reading at The Guardian. on a local one of the 38, see “Meehan is out after this year.”
by Amanda Holt, 25 Jan 2018. [Amanda Holt was the hero of the redistricting controversy after the 2010 census, and in the first legal challenge the PA Supreme Court specifically cited her proposal as proof that the General Assembly could have done better to respect the PA constitution in redistricting the PA Senate and House. Now comes the next round: US Congress. Her proposal below puts all of Delaware County in district 7 but splits Chester County between the 6th (with all of Berks County) and 16th (with all of Lancaster County, thus fairly close to the current boundaries). Theoretically Chester County, which comprises about 5/7 of the population of one district, could be entirely in the 6th with a slice of Berks or Lancaster; but certainly being split between 2 districts is better than 3, and combining with one other county is better than with 3. If legislators say they don’t have time to complete their map by the Feb. 9 deadline, all the Court will need to do is refer them to the map that Amanda produced in a few days. The power of the motivated citizen!]
6 years ago today, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court declared the State Senate and House districts were unconstitutional based on the evidence presented in my case. Just 2 days ago, this same court declared another legislative map unconstitutional — the map configuring congressional districts.
The court order gives the main point of their decision: Section 16 of the Pennsylvania Constitution (which protects county, municipal, and ward boundaries when forming districts) also applies to congressional districts.
What would it look like if a congressional map did not divide any municipalities? I asked myself this question and came up with the following answer.
These districts would afford equal representation through impartially drawn districts, unlike the ones currently in place.
keep reading Amanda Holt for explanation of the constitutional advantages of her proposal. For background search Amanda Holt in our site’s right sidebar and see especially “Allentown woman shows Harrisburg how to make a legislative map” by Amy Worden, Philadelphia Inquirer, February 27, 2012.
In Chester County’s 3 congressional districts, 5 women are running for the nomination in the May 15 Dem primary (also 5 men, so that’s nicely balanced) in the largest state that has NOT A SINGLE WOMAN in its congressional delegation. Wouldn’t it be nice if the count stood at 9 women and 9 men before long? (Also 3 women and 3 men are running for Lieutenant Governor.)
Now the national press has featured women candidates including Chester County’s Chrissy Houlahan, running in PA-06, in this excerpt from “A Year Ago, They Marched. Now a Record Number of Women Are Running for Office,” by Charlotte Alter, Time magazine, 1/18/18 (Chrissy is shown 2nd from left, 2nd from bottom):
…Like all political transformations, this one sprang from dozens of small private choices. For years, the hardest thing about getting women elected has been getting women to decide to run. But sometime over the past year, while lying awake at night or comforting a crying friend or in hushed conversations with their spouse, each of these women came to the same conclusion. They could no longer pin their hopes on icons like Hillary Clinton or Elizabeth Warren to represent half the American population. Instead, they would step up and do it themselves. “I always thought this was for other people, and I was not qualified,” says Chrissy Houlahan, an Air Force veteran and business executive who is running to represent Pennsylvania’s Sixth Congressional District, where the incumbent Republican won by 14 points in 2016 but Clinton won narrowly. “There was this wake-up call of, Why not me?”
See also New York Magazine, 1/22/18 issue: “The Other Women’s March on Washington: What’s the fastest way to fix a broken system? Take it over, say the record number of female candidates running for office in 2018 for the first time” by Rebecca Traister, The Cut, 1/19/18.
from 538.com, 11/20/17
An updating estimate of the generic ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in a congressional election.